El Nacional VS Libertad
Recent Form
El Nacional
L
L
L
D
L
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2025
El Nacional
VS
Libertad
2 - 2
El Nacional
VS
Libertad
Liga Pro
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
2025
Apr 4, 2025
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
1 - 3
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
2025
Nov 10, 2024
El Nacional
VS
Libertad
1 - 4
El Nacional
VS
Libertad
Liga Pro
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
2024
May 18, 2024
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
0 - 2
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
2024
Sep 25, 2023
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
0 - 1
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
2023
Match Events
El Nacional
Libertad
27'
⚽
27'
⚽
D. Reasco
Assist: D. Pazmino
37'
⚽
37'
⚽
I. Zambrano
Assist: C. Arboleda
46'
⚽
C. Arboleda
Assist: E. Caicedo
47'
⚽
47'
⚽
C. Arboleda
56'
⇄
F. Carabali
On: F. Carabali
Off: R. A. Cabezas Briones
Substitution
56'
⇄
A. Cela
On: A. Cela
Off: C. Velez
Substitution
67'
⇄
B. Rivera
On: B. Rivera
Off: J. D. Mejia Moreira
Substitution
74'
⇄
W. Ayovi
On: W. Ayovi
Off: N. Caicedo
Substitution
78'
⚽
D. Reasco
Assist: J. Chala
79'
⚽
79'
⚽
D. Reasco
84'
⇄
J. Chala
On: J. Chala
Off: J. Guisamano
Substitution
84'
⇄
J. Borja
On: J. Borja
Off: J. Maya
Substitution
86'
⇄
C. Arboleda
On: C. Arboleda
Off: D. Avila
Substitution
87'
⇄
C. Arboleda
On: C. Arboleda
Off: D. Avila
Substitution
87'
⇄
E. Caicedo
On: E. Caicedo
Off: J. Monaga
Substitution
Lineups
El Nacional
(3-4-2-1)
Starting XI
José Flor
#5
Jeison Chalá
#7
Jonathan Borja
#10
David Cabezas
#12
Edison Caicedo
#13
Dario Pazmino
#14
Adrian Cela
#15
Bryan Rivera
#18
D
D
Djorkaeff Reasco
#99
Substitutes
Libertad
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
D
Ronny Biojo
#4
M
Wilter Ayovi
#8
Eber Caicedo
#19
Denilson Bolanos
#25
Yery Bravo
#30
Ariel García
#36
Carlos Arboleda
#37
Leonel Nazareno
#45
Yerlin Quinonez
#70
Substitutes
Match Statistics
El Nacional
Libertad
55%
Possession
45%
19
Shots
20
7
Shots on Target
3
3
Blocked Shots
7
9
Fouls
8
7
Corners
5
5
Offsides
1
1
Saves
5
392
Passes
318
318
Accurate Passes
245
81%
Pass Accuracy
77%
Team Comparison
49.3
Overall Strength
39.7
54.1%
Attacking Power
45.9%
54.4%
Defensive Strength
45.6%
65%
Current Form
35%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
El Nacional
Libertad
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
27%
|
20%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
El Nacional
2.5/Game
71
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
13
31-45'
9
46-60'
11
61-75'
20
76-90'
17
Libertad
2.1/Game
60
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
6
31-45'
10
46-60'
11
61-75'
12
76-90'
20
Season Comparison
2024/2025
El Nacional
13W 4D 0L
|
33:36
|
1.43 ppg
Libertad
7W 10D 0L
|
28:43
|
1.03 ppg
2023/2024
El Nacional
15W 8D 0L
|
57:44
|
1.77 ppg
Libertad
6W 10D 0L
|
32:44
|
0.93 ppg
2022/2023
El Nacional
18W 9D 0L
|
54:37
|
1.75 ppg
Libertad
16W 11D 0L
|
46:37
|
1.64 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
45.3%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
El Nacional
45.3%
Draw
36.0%
Libertad
18.7%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
42.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | N/A |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 81.7% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | N/A |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goals After 80' | No | 71.0% | Good | N/A |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 64.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 60.7% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 58.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 57.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Match Result | Home Win | 45.3% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 13.3% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.7%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
20.8%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
29.0%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
39.3%
Over 11 Corners
18.3%
Home Most Corners
58.5%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
35.5%
Home More Shots
57.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
8.9
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
El Nacional
36 Points
5
Libertad
56 Points
6