Model discovery
Discover interesting matches
Explore upcoming matches, model probabilities and recent team trends. Find something worth investigating without searching fixture by fixture.
Interesting today
8Distinct signals from saved forecasts and completed results. Only fixtures with qualifying evidence appear; each reason is shown at most twice.
Why this is interesting: Scoring trends point in opposite directions in Ettan - Norra. Vasalund scored 9 goals in its latest five full-time matches versus 5 in the previous five; Assyriska FF scored 8 versus 12. Each change is supported by at least three recent matches.
View analysis → Attack improving
Why this is interesting: Arnett Gardens scored 19 goals in its latest five full-time matches in Premier League, compared with 3 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.
View analysis → Defence declining
Why this is interesting: Ranheim II conceded 23 goals in its latest five full-time matches in 3. Division - Girone 2, compared with 14 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.
View analysis → Form improving
Why this is interesting: EC São Bernardo U20 earned 9 points in its latest five full-time matches in Paulista - U20, compared with 2 in the previous five (three points per win, one per draw).
View analysis → Balanced
Why this is interesting: Only 1.5 percentage points separate the highest and lowest of all three outcome probabilities.
View analysis → Contrasting signals
Why this is interesting: Scoring trends point in opposite directions in Primera C. Sportivo Barracas scored 3 goals in its latest five full-time matches versus 9 in the previous five; Canuelas scored 9 versus 4. Each change is supported by at least three recent matches.
View analysis → Attack declining
Why this is interesting: RB Bragantino U20 scored 17 goals in its latest five full-time matches in Paulista - U20, compared with 32 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.
View analysis → Form improving
Why this is interesting: El Porvenir earned 10 points in its latest five full-time matches in Primera C, compared with 2 in the previous five (three points per win, one per draw).
View analysis →Interesting next week
8Signals worth exploring for next Monday–Sunday (28 Sep–4 Oct), in your timezone. Evidence reflects results and forecasts available now.
Why this is interesting: Scoring trends point in opposite directions in Reserve League. Estudiantes La Plata Res scored 7 goals in its latest five full-time matches versus 12 in the previous five; Defensa y Justicia Res. scored 11 versus 5. Each change is supported by at least three recent matches.
View analysis → Form improving
Why this is interesting: Workington earned 15 points in its latest five full-time matches in Non League Premier - Northern, compared with 1 in the previous five (three points per win, one per draw).
View analysis → Attack declining
Why this is interesting: Ljutomer scored 7 goals in its latest five full-time matches in 3. SNL - East, compared with 20 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.
View analysis → Defence declining
Why this is interesting: Whitby Town conceded 19 goals in its latest five full-time matches in Non League Premier - Northern, compared with 5 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.
View analysis → Balanced
Why this is interesting: Only 0.7 percentage points separate the highest and lowest of all three outcome probabilities.
View analysis → High confidence
Why this is interesting: The saved forecast assigns 77.7% to the Home outcome, meeting the 70% discovery threshold. High probability is not certainty.
View analysis → Contrasting signals
Why this is interesting: Scoring trends point in opposite directions in Non League Premier - Southern South. Havant & Wville scored 7 goals in its latest five full-time matches versus 2 in the previous five; Hanwell Town scored 2 versus 7. Each change is supported by at least three recent matches.
View analysis → Form declining
Why this is interesting: Odense Q earned 1 point in its latest five full-time matches in Kvindeliga, compared with 10 in the previous five (three points per win, one per draw).
View analysis →Highest model probabilities
6Matches where one 1X2 outcome currently has the highest model probability in the available set. High probability is not certainty.
Why this is interesting: The model currently assigns its highest probability to the Home outcome at 78%.
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Why this is interesting: The model currently assigns its highest probability to the Home outcome at 75%.
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Why this is interesting: The model currently assigns its highest probability to the Away outcome at 75%.
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Why this is interesting: The model currently assigns its highest probability to the Home outcome at 75%.
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Why this is interesting: The model currently assigns its highest probability to the Away outcome at 74%.
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Why this is interesting: The model currently assigns its highest probability to the Home outcome at 74%.
View analysis →Balanced matches
6The model sees little separation between the three main outcomes. Balanced means the highest and lowest probabilities are within eight percentage points.
Why this is interesting: Only 0.6 percentage points separate the highest and lowest of all three outcome probabilities.
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Why this is interesting: Only 0.7 percentage points separate the highest and lowest of all three outcome probabilities.
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Why this is interesting: Only 0.8 percentage points separate the highest and lowest of all three outcome probabilities.
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Why this is interesting: Only 0.9 percentage points separate the highest and lowest of all three outcome probabilities.
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Why this is interesting: Only 1 percentage point separates the highest and lowest of all three outcome probabilities.
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Why this is interesting: Only 1.1 percentage points separate the highest and lowest of all three outcome probabilities.
View analysis →Trending teams
4Changes across the latest five full-time matches versus the previous five in the same competition, within 180 days. Goals and results are descriptive signals, not measures of underlying performance.
RB Bragantino U20 scored 17 goals in its latest five full-time matches in Paulista - U20, compared with 32 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.
Arnett Gardens Attack improvingArnett Gardens scored 19 goals in its latest five full-time matches in Premier League, compared with 3 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.
Ararat II Defence improvingArarat II conceded 6 goals in its latest five full-time matches in First League, compared with 21 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.
Nordsjælland Attack improvingNordsjælland scored 26 goals in its latest five full-time matches in Kvindeliga, compared with 3 in the previous five. At least three recent matches support the direction of this change.