El Nacional VS Libertad
1-4
Full Time
Recent Form
El Nacional
L
L
L
D
L
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2025
El Nacional
VS
Libertad
2 - 2
El Nacional
VS
Libertad
Liga Pro
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
2025
Apr 4, 2025
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
1 - 3
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
2025
Nov 10, 2024
El Nacional
VS
Libertad
1 - 4
El Nacional
VS
Libertad
Liga Pro
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
2024
May 18, 2024
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
0 - 2
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
2024
Sep 25, 2023
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
0 - 1
Libertad
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne
2023
Match Events
El Nacional
Libertad
2'
⚽
D. Ávila
36'
⚽
B. Caicedo
Assist: C. Penilla
41'
⇄
D. Cabezas
On: D. Cabezas
Off: L. Chalá
Substitution
43'
⚽
N. Molina
Assist: N. Caicedo
56'
⇄
Charles Velez
On: Charles Velez
Off: J. Guisamano
Substitution
56'
⇄
F. Martínez
On: F. Martínez
Off: E. Mejía
Substitution
58'
⚽
C. Penilla
66'
⚽
G. Cortéz
Assist: A. Cabeza
68'
⇄
L. Gómez
On: L. Gómez
Off: L. Angulo
Substitution
68'
⇄
N. Molina
On: N. Molina
Off: P. Larrea
Substitution
73'
Mario Pineida
Yellow Card
Foul
74'
⇄
D. Ávila
On: D. Ávila
Off: T. Donsanti
Substitution
74'
⇄
L. Arce
On: L. Arce
Off: D. Pazmiño
Substitution
74'
⇄
J. Ordóñez
On: J. Ordóñez
Off: E. Carabalí
Substitution
77'
Gabriel Cortez
Yellow Card
Argument
84'
Dario Pazmino
Yellow Card
Foul
86'
⇄
N. Caicedo
On: N. Caicedo
Off: W. Ayoví
Substitution
86'
⇄
B. Caicedo
On: B. Caicedo
Off: C. Obando
Substitution
Lineups
El Nacional
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
M. Pineida
#2
F. Martínez
#8
A. Cabeza
#9
D. Cabezas
#12
Charles Velez
#17
B. Rivera
#18
M. Corozo
#19
D. Patiño
#23
J. Ordóñez
#43
G. Cortéz
#81
L. Arce
#88
Substitutes
G
D
M
M
F
M
F
Libertad
(4-4-2)
Starting XI
B. Caicedo
#6
I. Zambrano
#7
D. Ávila
#9
C. Penilla
#10
D. Bolaños
#25
N. Molina
#26
G. Mina
#31
C. Medina
#37
N. Caicedo
#50
L. Gómez
#66
E. Bores
#90
Substitutes
F
Match Statistics
El Nacional
Libertad
61%
Possession
39%
16
Shots
19
5
Shots on Target
6
3
Blocked Shots
3
11
Fouls
17
10
Corners
3
3
Yellow Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
2
Saves
4
382
Passes
242
305
Accurate Passes
172
80%
Pass Accuracy
71%
Team Comparison
49.3
Overall Strength
39.7
54.1%
Attacking Power
45.9%
54.4%
Defensive Strength
45.6%
65%
Current Form
35%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
El Nacional
Libertad
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
27%
|
20%
Avg Total Goals
2.3
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
El Nacional
2.5/Game
71
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
13
31-45'
9
46-60'
11
61-75'
20
76-90'
17
Libertad
2.1/Game
60
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
6
31-45'
10
46-60'
11
61-75'
12
76-90'
20
Season Comparison
2024/2025
El Nacional
13W 4D 0L
|
33:36
|
1.43 ppg
Libertad
7W 10D 0L
|
28:43
|
1.03 ppg
2023/2024
El Nacional
15W 8D 0L
|
57:44
|
1.77 ppg
Libertad
6W 10D 0L
|
32:44
|
0.93 ppg
2022/2023
El Nacional
18W 9D 0L
|
54:37
|
1.75 ppg
Libertad
16W 11D 0L
|
46:37
|
1.64 ppg
Match Result
Home Win
Confidence:
37.0%
Goals Prediction
Over 2.5
62.6%
Both Teams Score
Yes
63.4%
Match Outcome Probabilities
El Nacional
37.0%
Draw
33.0%
Libertad
30.0%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 96.0% | Good |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 96.0% | Good |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 83.3% | Good |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 83.3% | Good |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 81.7% | Good |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 79.2% | Good |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good |
| Goals After 80' | No | 71.0% | Good |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 70.4% | Good |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 64.5% | Fair |
| Both Teams Score | Yes | 63.4% | Fair |
| Under 2.5 Goals | No | 62.6% | Fair |
| Over 2.5 Goals | Yes | 62.6% | Fair |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair |
| Goals Both Halves | Yes | 61.0% | Fair |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 60.7% | Fair |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 59.6% | Fair |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 59.6% | Fair |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 58.5% | Fair |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 57.5% | Fair |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 51.6% | Fair |
| Match Result | Home Win | 37.0% | Low |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 10.2% | Low |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
96.0%
Over 1.5
83.3%
Over 2.5
62.6%
Over 3.5
40.4%
Under 0.5
4.0%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Under 2.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
59.6%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
27.3%
HT Draw
51.6%
HT Away Win
21.1%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
20.8%
Goals in First 30'
70.4%
Goals After 80'
29.0%
Goals Both Halves
61.0%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
39.3%
Over 11 Corners
18.3%
Home Most Corners
58.5%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
35.5%
Home More Shots
57.5%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
53.1%
Away Exceed xG
51.1%
Total xG Over 2.5
62.6%
High xG Variance
46.2%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
50.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
8.9
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
El Nacional
21 Points
7
Libertad
4 Points
16