Deportivo Cuenca VS El Nacional
4-1
Full Time
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro
Sunday, Jun 15, 2025 At 16:30 Edt
Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero, Ecuador
Recent Form
Deportivo Cuenca
L
D
L
L
?
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2025
Deportivo Cuenca
VS
El Nacional
5 - 0
Deportivo Cuenca
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro
2025
Oct 20, 2025
El Nacional
VS
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 2
El Nacional
VS
Deportivo Cuenca
Liga Pro
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
2025
Jun 15, 2025
Deportivo Cuenca
VS
El Nacional
4 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro
2025
Feb 16, 2025
El Nacional
VS
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 1
El Nacional
VS
Deportivo Cuenca
Liga Pro
Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa
2025
Aug 31, 2024
Deportivo Cuenca
VS
El Nacional
1 - 2
Deportivo Cuenca
VS
El Nacional
Liga Pro
Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar Banco del Austro
2024
Match Events
Deportivo Cuenca
El Nacional
5'
⚽
L. Arroyo
Assist: L. Estupiñán
5'
Luis Arroyo
Yellow Card
14'
⚽
L. Estupiñán
Assist: K. Moreno
14'
Luis Estupiñan
Yellow Card
56'
•
Marcos Andrés López
Penalty Confirmed
59'
⚽
A. Tobar
Penalty
62'
⚽
D. Reasco
Assist: A. Bedoya
63'
⇄
Jeison Chalá
On: Jeison Chalá
Off: J. Borja
Substitution
63'
⇄
J. Flor
On: J. Flor
Off: J. Cifuente
Substitution
72'
⇄
Bryan Hernández
On: Bryan Hernández
Off: Fricson Borja
Substitution
73'
⇄
B. Hernández
On: B. Hernández
Off: F. Borja
Substitution
75'
Anthony Bedoya Caicedo
Yellow Card
Foul
85'
⇄
A. Cela
On: A. Cela
Off: J. Maya
Substitution
85'
⇄
V. Branda
On: V. Branda
Off: A. Mena
Substitution
87'
Rommel Cabezas
Yellow Card
Foul
88'
⇄
J. Chacón
On: J. Chacón
Off: D. Noboa
Substitution
88'
⇄
L. Arroyo
On: L. Arroyo
Off: A. Rodríguez
Substitution
89'
⚽
A. Tobar
Assist: D. Noboa
90'
⇄
L. Estupiñán
On: L. Estupiñán
Off: M. Solís
Substitution
Lineups
Deportivo Cuenca
(3-1-4-2)
Starting XI
B. Bustos
#1
E. Raggio
#6
A. Venezia
#10
L. Estupiñán
#11
J. Chacón
#14
A. Gómez
#19
E. Guevara
#23
A. López
#25
L. Arroyo
#29
K. Moreno
#32
A. Tobar
#99
Substitutes
El Nacional
(4-2-3-1)
Starting XI
L. Chalá
#1
R. Cabezas
#4
J. Flor
#5
Jeison Chalá
#7
V. Branda
#11
E. Caicedo
#13
A. Cela
#15
C. Vélez
#17
A. Bedoya
#32
B. Hernández
#77
D. Reasco
#99
Substitutes
M
M
M
G
M
M
M
Match Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca
El Nacional
45%
Possession
55%
19
Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
4
1
Blocked Shots
3
9
Fouls
12
7
Corners
1
2
Yellow Cards
2
2
Offsides
0
3
Saves
4
319
Passes
394
263
Accurate Passes
343
82%
Pass Accuracy
87%
Team Comparison
42
Overall Strength
49.3
54.8%
Attacking Power
45.2%
44.4%
Defensive Strength
55.6%
35%
Current Form
65%
50%
Discipline
50%
Under/Over Statistics
Deportivo Cuenca
El Nacional
0%
Over 0.5
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0%
0%
Over 2.5
0%
0%
Over 3.5
0%
Both Teams Score
0%
|
0%
Clean Sheets
23%
|
27%
Avg Total Goals
2.8
|
2.3
Cards Analysis
Deportivo Cuenca
2.1/Game
59
3
0-15'
1
16-30'
9
31-45'
12
46-60'
16
61-75'
10
76-90'
14
El Nacional
2.5/Game
71
3
0-15'
4
16-30'
13
31-45'
9
46-60'
11
61-75'
20
76-90'
17
Season Comparison
2024/2025
Deportivo Cuenca
7W 11D 0L
|
40:45
|
1.07 ppg
El Nacional
13W 4D 0L
|
33:36
|
1.43 ppg
2023/2024
Deportivo Cuenca
10W 7D 0L
|
36:37
|
1.23 ppg
El Nacional
15W 8D 0L
|
57:44
|
1.77 ppg
2022/2023
Deportivo Cuenca
11W 10D 0L
|
30:29
|
1.43 ppg
El Nacional
18W 9D 0L
|
54:37
|
1.75 ppg
Match Result
Draw
Confidence:
41.8%
Goals Prediction
Under 2.5
60.1%
Both Teams Score
No
53.8%
Match Outcome Probabilities
Deportivo Cuenca
26.1%
Draw
41.8%
El Nacional
32.2%
AI Quick Analytics Summary
Overall Accuracy
50.0%
| Market | Analysis | Confidence | Value | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Goals | Yes | 89.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Under 0.5 Goals | No | 89.8% | Good | N/A |
| Red Card | No | 84.6% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Over 3.5 Goals | No | 80.3% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 3.5 Goals | Yes | 80.3% | Good | N/A |
| Over 11 Corners | No | 79.8% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Goal Before 15' | No | 73.8% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Over 3 Cards | Yes | 73.5% | Good | ✓ Correct |
| Penalty Awarded | No | 72.2% | Good | ✕ Wrong |
| Goals After 80' | No | 69.1% | Good | N/A |
| Over 1.5 Goals | Yes | 66.5% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Under 1.5 Goals | No | 66.5% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 8 Shots on Target | No | 63.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals in First 30' | Yes | 61.7% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 5 Cards | No | 61.6% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Over 2.5 Goals | No | 60.1% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Under 2.5 Goals | Yes | 60.1% | Fair | N/A |
| Possession Over 60% | Yes | 60.0% | Fair | N/A |
| Home Most Corners | Yes | 58.6% | Fair | N/A |
| Over 9 Corners | No | 58.1% | Fair | ✓ Correct |
| Both Teams Score | No | 53.8% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Home More Shots | Yes | 52.9% | Fair | N/A |
| Goals Both Halves | No | 51.2% | Fair | N/A |
| Half Time Result | HT Draw | 50.6% | Fair | ✕ Wrong |
| Match Result | Draw | 41.8% | Low | ✕ Wrong |
| Most Likely Score | 1-1 | 13.3% | Fair | N/A |
Goals Markets
Over 0.5
89.8%
Over 1.5
66.5%
Over 2.5
39.9%
Over 3.5
19.7%
Under 0.5
10.2%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Under 2.5
60.1%
Under 3.5
80.3%
Half Time Markets
HT Home Win
29.0%
HT Draw
50.6%
HT Away Win
20.4%
Timing Markets
Goal Before 15'
26.2%
Goals in First 30'
61.7%
Goals After 80'
30.9%
Goals Both Halves
48.8%
Corners Markets
Over 9 Corners
41.9%
Over 11 Corners
20.2%
Home Most Corners
58.6%
Goal from Corner
40.0%
Cards Markets
Over 3 Cards
73.5%
Over 5 Cards
38.4%
Red Card
15.4%
Shots Markets
Over 20 Shots
0.1%
Over 25 Shots
0.1%
Over 8 On Target
36.3%
Home More Shots
52.9%
Expected Goals (xG) Markets
Home Exceed xG
49.9%
Away Exceed xG
49.6%
Total xG Over 2.5
39.9%
High xG Variance
41.4%
Special Markets
Penalty Awarded
27.8%
Free Kick Goal
10.0%
Possession Over 60%
60.0%
High Pressing
10.0%
Additional Insights
Strict Referee
50.0%
Strong Venue Adv.
60.0%
Momentum Shift
30.0%
Underdog Upset
20.0%
Expected Values
Total Corners
9.1
Total Cards
5.0
League Position
Deportivo Cuenca
59 Points
2
El Nacional
36 Points
5