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Frozen pre-match forecast · #993

Ind. Juniors VS Atletico FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.03%
Draw
34.53%
Away
33.44%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6430
Log loss
1.0633

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:10 UTC
SHA-256
8a841701bcb6731a3a47fe240e4eeec0d4989f15af643f0c25c7f8097cff9cd0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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