Frozen pre-match forecast · #97135
Bristol City U21 VS Charlton Athletic U21
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 06 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 57.92%
- Draw
- 20.31%
- Away
- 21.77%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.2657
- Log loss
- 0.5461
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 03 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- SHA-256
- f9365f64aa7cf3991a1aa4dda95918814f4dd1f7a3106d1cbf62c65c8d9df190
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.