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Frozen pre-match forecast · #96194

Olympic Charleroi VS Meux

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.46%
Draw
24.09%
Away
24.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9008
Log loss
1.4234

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
82b9b718a2f69328a1fad2ad6d136f56631a194d40d0caf3ff1f9638672cd1d7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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