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Frozen pre-match forecast · #96099

Prykarpattia VS Metal Kharkiv

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.20%
Draw
28.46%
Away
25.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.7894
Log loss
1.2566

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
03 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
fbcd7b6738ed7f78a967bc12f4a26674de0ffeffa0fbcf90f66d5c648922e4a1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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