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Frozen pre-match forecast · #9486

Como U20 VS Bologna U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.44%
Draw
36.40%
Away
28.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7742
Log loss
1.2673

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:46 UTC
SHA-256
512fcd047eeef2d051531d3892a56a832eaef79b4ad6bc8f875063c7acbfe756

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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