Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #90295

Pyrgos 1968 VS Panionios

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 11:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.03%
Draw
31.39%
Away
32.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6139
Log loss
1.0208

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
64aca49801006484ce9b35dff23b3f1e262a54126222c8df2ef2255f4c219b25

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →