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Frozen pre-match forecast · #8916

Diosgyori VTK VS Gyirmot SE

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
36.72%
Draw
29.07%
Away
34.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6020
Log loss
1.0018

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 05:34 UTC
SHA-256
6cc6cc0565df878a6fc908cc31c900ba154210c168cb66f762b78a87278915dd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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