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Frozen pre-match forecast · #84835

East Bengal II VS Minerva Punjab

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.37%
Draw
24.01%
Away
45.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4455
Log loss
0.7847

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
30 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
521b6d3a7f1fe207ce4536688f651104e2059c97907a2b907071bc9e52791764

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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