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Frozen pre-match forecast · #82081

Real Oruro VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.02%
Draw
20.29%
Away
57.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0167
Log loss
1.5951

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
0fca49ef0a2031f75f1a330723e2f05b6e1d2e62e0aca457d2f6e630838d9da1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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