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Frozen pre-match forecast · #82052

Roeselare Daisel VS Thes Sport

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.50%
Draw
24.26%
Away
26.24%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8479
Log loss
1.3379

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
29 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
3cfe6ae1cf8e5c09330d527297cd501d0cff6422181a72dfdea46e3e61d00c46

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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