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Frozen pre-match forecast · #81419

Laholm VS Tvååker

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Match kickoff
12 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.87%
Draw
24.70%
Away
37.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8505
Log loss
1.3984

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
SHA-256
e548689943490c937a7634cd403e2f705b9ed0444c6bd130ade6b4432694eb15

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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