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Frozen pre-match forecast · #80260

Olympic Charleroi VS Meux

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.73%
Draw
24.43%
Away
29.84%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8692
Log loss
1.4094

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
28 Sep 2026 · 07:32 UTC
SHA-256
d54f9d87b0be9dce400fe0b7106bf1d7cc4c57ede8201276a96477e60995a59d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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