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Frozen pre-match forecast · #76928

Prykarpattia VS Metal Kharkiv

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 11:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.33%
Draw
28.05%
Away
23.63%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8071
Log loss
1.2713

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
bbc0f43c728fd242f039a0ecf445b85e76c42e8c12d0ada4c45a20e04e52f489

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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