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Frozen pre-match forecast · #75694

Rudar VS Berane

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.57%
Draw
26.07%
Away
26.36%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4123
Log loss
0.7430

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
b261bc29bbdc076d54b0ff4bf5eb0b05830c787aea93f1f42553e87354b68d05

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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