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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72355

Real Oruro VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.04%
Draw
20.19%
Away
57.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.0193
Log loss
1.6001

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
d43e016475ae6750e867037e267aebe56126dcbd3c7329eb05ed73e3ade99956

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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