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Frozen pre-match forecast · #72065

Real Tomayapo VS Real Oruro

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.75%
Draw
21.72%
Away
26.53%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3504
Log loss
0.6587

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
cf5c6b91ac8ef3588bb988023a8a4fd3392f9bf34bd4a80cfdfb3d5fe64e0b42

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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