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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7158

Real Oruro VS Always Ready

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:43 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.25%
Draw
34.13%
Away
53.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7364
Log loss
1.0750

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:43 UTC
SHA-256
38af3722862597d3badecf97a565b3a52be7af3e52189a4a9a0c9bd0a8c6588f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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