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Frozen pre-match forecast · #71124

Roosendaal VS Vvsb

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.68%
Draw
24.01%
Away
44.31%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7207
Log loss
1.1495

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
7c25d9218995000791fb3a1e8d61c0884e5931fe261d05fbac22a7a52e5890ce

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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