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Frozen pre-match forecast · #71089

Aoiz VS Gazte Berriak

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.56%
Draw
25.19%
Away
20.25%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8983
Log loss
1.3787

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
8a16fad8df6c769ad485e6f61cd21b6e62fb940b1054b0657c7c23b27ee9475e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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