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Frozen pre-match forecast · #70321

Kjelsås VS Follo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.03%
Draw
13.85%
Away
9.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.3439
Log loss
1.9769

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
ded1020ecece7d66daec3798f92aeea8b36c41c8d9cba709681116c98197feca

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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