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Frozen pre-match forecast · #7004

Yeovil Town VS Worthing

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:42 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.19%
Draw
33.63%
Away
34.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6609
Log loss
1.0898

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:42 UTC
SHA-256
2231c71089a653509b15e5b74a3c13bfea6478e333e40290ed76f160cc905b19

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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