Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #69741

Horní Ředice VS Teplice II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.83%
Draw
23.06%
Away
52.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8898
Log loss
1.3931

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Sep 2026 · 01:00 UTC
SHA-256
fe4c15ff40e31969656d0d91ccecba1ccc2d49541e9417175faaf577ce259fe5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →