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Frozen pre-match forecast · #69391

Chrudim VS Pardubice II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.93%
Draw
23.04%
Away
47.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4233
Log loss
0.7545

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
SHA-256
5d4ac21051198b119026c0bf12a5a068ac50278f957704a3201f724b04926bbd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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