Frozen pre-match forecast · #68994
Al-Gharafa VS Al Mesaimeer
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 65.12%
- Draw
- 19.70%
- Away
- 15.18%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.1835
- Log loss
- 0.4289
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 25 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
- SHA-256
- a67876b988b4c2132d70a44911ec3c2cae24ec0e51c61b4a835afe993d954dcf
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.