Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #66844

Torpedo Miass VS Tyumen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.14%
Draw
23.46%
Away
43.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6904
Log loss
1.1044

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
25 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
e9fb066d5f85ba0fa7683e537263f03372ac01e6d6a7a06110b0c38b70fabe0a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →