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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66164

Wiślanie Jaśkowice VS Wisłoka Dębica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.05%
Draw
25.97%
Away
30.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7290
Log loss
1.1716

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
SHA-256
2e81a3a8c348a980a5039ad599d2ca49e5d9d779e710c36d33384a93188f42d4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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