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Frozen pre-match forecast · #66018

Romania U19 VS Hungary U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.77%
Draw
24.38%
Away
32.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6933
Log loss
1.1132

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
2808402beb340d35753d8dfe1f1c6a0c2a17353f9d5120cc0ca675f63ca01116

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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