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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65768

Yeovil Town VS Worthing

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.13%
Draw
24.64%
Away
41.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8544
Log loss
1.4008

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
88a9d3453f45936ff4589599ef7eca4667335bee17f8d79b2f5e64312425356a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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