Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #6563

Girona II VS Osasuna II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:36 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.66%
Draw
33.23%
Away
34.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6802
Log loss
1.1190

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:36 UTC
SHA-256
57faa757395af67eb247403a739807ece5275aa0e7e10ee6987d0d470d1b4a8f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →