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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65287

Odranci VS Šampion Celje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.93%
Draw
20.33%
Away
19.74%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2409
Log loss
0.5120

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
68b6c4f60baf461fa7a98d0ab84460cc2f7d3de2af4187a6040d1db7b7893d20

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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