Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #6521

Odranci VS Šampion Celje

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:35 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.73%
Draw
33.23%
Away
23.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4801
Log loss
0.8271

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:35 UTC
SHA-256
b7daf93e9e9796195490d140b2ae742a306a1f9e098e84cf1a6e9e1f7f06268a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →