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Frozen pre-match forecast · #65153

Kifissos VS Asteras Stavros

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.38%
Draw
27.42%
Away
30.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4984
Log loss
0.8585

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
308ae2aebd40b029050ba454e2fce2ffded36c4612d4e658ee5cfc515f1c92d7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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