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Frozen pre-match forecast · #64690

Stade Verviers VS Ostiches

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 17:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.00%
Draw
24.45%
Away
21.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9088
Log loss
1.4085

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
613d47a4294ae10e0d0c3c3d0e1b7d610361165279aeb39dac2a7d558178eaf0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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