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Frozen pre-match forecast · #63876

Åkra VS Madla

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
12.54%
Draw
15.68%
Away
71.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.1199
Log loss
0.3316

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
24 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
5593a31be13033d7115958881c54bcd332bc4a9393e48e68bead1e2b2e32ddfb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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