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Frozen pre-match forecast · #62823

Romania VS Sweden

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:44 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.35%
Draw
24.61%
Away
37.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:44 UTC
SHA-256
b7d4b6d812686ecc3b9993dcd55a7970b4816854124a1d449519817cdf9ccf8f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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