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Frozen pre-match forecast · #62140

Deltras VS Persiba Balikpapan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.73%
Draw
18.89%
Away
12.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1488
Log loss
0.3750

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:43 UTC
SHA-256
71d26906248cfd333062f1493658a15f8a26e2c544af99c22afb39b74456d5b0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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