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Frozen pre-match forecast · #58152

Wiślanie Jaśkowice VS Wisłoka Dębica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.01%
Draw
25.37%
Away
22.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9336
Log loss
1.4863

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:40 UTC
SHA-256
d5892a835a9105e8a93a35bbb1006036520e72abe30b08f81b9904d60da5d4bb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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