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Frozen pre-match forecast · #57053

Vålerenga W VS Rosenborg W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.00%
Draw
22.91%
Away
30.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9057
Log loss
1.4736

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v4
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 08:31 UTC
SHA-256
8a2df17163ff6b9b7ded94ac31acf65ea44067d302b0093d9946847194c63c12

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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