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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5389

Laholm VS Atvidabergs FF

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:16 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
27.78%
Draw
32.88%
Away
39.34%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5532
Log loss
0.9329

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:16 UTC
SHA-256
7ac56ed8e8a0718e4c28115b52cd6d1ae59187b00c94f696d16d96abd98eac60

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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