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Frozen pre-match forecast · #5251

B 93 VS Thisted FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:14 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.38%
Draw
33.40%
Away
14.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3585
Log loss
0.6466

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:14 UTC
SHA-256
252278c2834220a4abe6777250b35224d0a0b741d9c167a31441a89a0bf1021b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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