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Frozen pre-match forecast · #51598

Vålerenga W VS Rosenborg W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.95%
Draw
22.50%
Away
28.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9217
Log loss
1.4917

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
SHA-256
36d49c4a6a8d1dea0465e7ae07154d5becee50e44b5759df82771b131a86e0e1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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