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Frozen pre-match forecast · #51552

Vipava VS Litija

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.20%
Draw
21.83%
Away
55.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.2908
Log loss
0.5804

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:56 UTC
SHA-256
a4f86b8632e2f3432eee9ceb1725d90221044444a8e1e83c80998b3e6aa7ba7f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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