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Frozen pre-match forecast · #48984

Linense VS Conil

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.26%
Draw
26.79%
Away
21.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3575
Log loss
0.6683

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v3
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:53 UTC
SHA-256
2e46d40309d4e906eaf6f204c60cc0f62c42aa567b6627090c88cd258e15e14c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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