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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4840

Wiślanie Jaśkowice VS Wisłoka Dębica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:07 UTC
Match kickoff
25 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.52%
Draw
33.20%
Away
29.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7513
Log loss
1.2285

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:07 UTC
SHA-256
459bf5b51ba0cc142bdcc3d2e31bb5a851446e94eed6c25aa2e128fdcbf2ddcf

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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