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Frozen pre-match forecast · #4672

Deportes Iquique VS Antofagasta

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Sep 2026 · 02:04 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 23:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
28.38%
Draw
32.75%
Away
38.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6839
Log loss
1.1163

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Sep 2026 · 02:04 UTC
SHA-256
2d05f020e84adb3e5372d8671414e7b6da037e6a8ce2ad4731a657e3f0353382

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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