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Frozen pre-match forecast · #46091

Vipava VS Litija

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.46%
Draw
22.15%
Away
54.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.3121
Log loss
0.6090

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v2
Captured at
23 Sep 2026 · 07:41 UTC
SHA-256
c38f23547a2fd0900fef8770f9212793e6e1adc701155e34c7c2faec5d81438c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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